
Canola futures rallied more than $18 over two days after the Renewable Fuels Association said President Trump would issue an executive order changing the national biofuels program and shifting the point of obligation. A White House representative denied those claims.
Cash prices firmed, but analysts described the rally as short-lived.
A biofuels policy shift toward blending obligations would support demand for vegetable oils used in biodiesel, lifting oilseed values. The denial and the lack of follow-through leave the support uncertain, so the price effect is likely temporary.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.