
Argentina temporarily cut soybean complex export tariffs in October 2020 for three months. Soybean tariffs moved from 33% to 30%, then 31.5% in November and 32% in December, and are set to return to 33% on January 1.
Byproduct rates return to 30-31% in January.
Higher export tariffs from January will raise the cost of Argentine soymeal and soyoil for exporters, which tends to support world meal and oil prices and reduce competitive selling pressure.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.