
The dollar reached a two-year high as growth concerns in China and expectations of aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes lifted demand for the greenback. The yen rebounded on speculation that Japanese authorities might intervene after hitting a 20-year low.
A firmer dollar lowers the dollar value of US grain and oilseed exports, while Chinese lockdown fears point to softer import demand. Yen intervention speculation could ease Japanese import costs.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
China growth fears and Fed hike expectations lifted the dollar to a two-year high on April 26.