As Fed wakes sleeping dollar, jolted bears may bolster gains

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Apr 22, 2022Dollar's rally may be nearing 'tipping point' as Fed readies big hikes | Reuters+2.5%
• Feb 1, 2026US dollar gains as Warsh named next Fed Chair+0.3%
• Oct 17, 2018edges lower as dollar gains after hawkish Fed minutes+1.1%
• Aug 19, 2020Dollar gains but Wall Street retreats as Fed nixes dovish measure+0.2%
• Jul 31, 2023Dollar gains after Fed loan survey, yen slips By Reuters+0.9%

After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Apr 18, 2024US dollar gains after strong data, Fed comments on rate cuts-0.4%
• Dec 14, 2016U.S. bond yields, dollar gain, stocks fall after Fed rate hike-2.5%
• Jun 26, 2024Dollar Soars to Fresh 2024 High as Fed Diverges From Major Peers-3.3%
• Jun 16, 2016Weak economy and strong dollar both matter-5.4%
• Oct 27, 2017U.S. grains: Wheat futures sink as dollar rallies - Grainews-0.2%

After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Apr 18, 2024US dollar gains after strong data, Fed comments on rate cuts+1.4%
• Jul 19, 2018Dollar and gold falters as Trump hits fed, stocks drop: markets wrap - MINING.COM+2.2%
• Dec 14, 2016U.S. bond yields, dollar gain, stocks fall after Fed rate hike-2.2%
• Jun 26, 2024Dollar Soars to Fresh 2024 High as Fed Diverges From Major Peers+0.2%
• May 18, 2017Dollar spikes against major currencies-2.8%