The yuan weakened against the dollar on Friday even as China's overnight repo rate rose to 3.28%, its highest since 2015. The central bank is draining liquidity to curb leverage, while US stock futures fell on concerns about hedge fund selling and a smaller-than-hoped US fiscal stimulus.
A weaker yuan raises the local-currency cost of dollar-priced imports for China, which can slow purchases of US feed grains and meal. Risk-off dollar strength also tends to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.