EUR/USD fell below 1.2000, down about 0.6% on the day, after Fed Chair Powell's remarks at a WSJ event failed to meet market expectations. US 10-year yields rose to above 1.53% and the dollar strengthened as US stocks dropped.
Higher US yields and a firmer dollar tend to weigh on dollar-priced commodities and strengthen the dollar index, which can pressure US export prices for feed grains and meals.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Powell's remarks on March 4 sent US yields higher and EUR/USD below 1.20, setting up the follow-through decline on March 5.