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EUR/USD dropped sharply after Powell declined to commit to lowering yields, falling to the 1.1950 support area. Traders were looking ahead to the February US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which was expected to show about 182,000 jobs added.
A strong jobs report would likely lift US yields and the dollar further, which tends to weigh on dollar-priced commodity exports and put pressure on US grain and meal futures.
forexcrunch.comFX StreetMar 5, 2021After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Powell's refusal to push back on rising yields plus anticipation of strong NFP and stimulus lifted the dollar and pushed EUR/USD sharply lower toward 1.1950 on March 5.
EUR/USD dropped toward 1.1950 after Powell's remarks, with traders positioned for a strong NFP boost to the dollar, setting up the March 5 move.
