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US milk production rose 3.1% in December 2020 from a year earlier, with annual output up more than 2%. The December US dairy herd reached 9.443 million cows, the largest since 1995.
Expanding milk output and a herd at a 25-year high add supply to a market with soft demand, pressuring dairy prices.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.