
Freezing weather in Texas prompted a flurry of fuel tanker bookings to supply the US. The US crack spread settled at $15.43 a barrel on Thursday, the highest since April 2020.
A widening refining margin signals tight product supply, supporting diesel prices and raising costs for fuel-dependent feed logistics.
After 113 past bullish logistics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.8% to +4.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 11 past neutral logistics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +3.8% over 5 sessions (73% higher; middle half -0.4% to +6.6%), and +6.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.