
Capesize and Panamax dry bulk rates moved sharply this week, with the Capesize 5TC peaking at $18,181 Wednesday before closing at $14,026. Shipowners are being cut off from several routes due to war risk as vessels are halted or turned around following events in Ukraine.
Higher fuel costs and rerouting add tonne-miles and freight cost to grain and oilseed shipments, which can widen export basis and cut returns for feed buyers relying on imported ingredients.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 11 past neutral logistics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +3.8% over 5 sessions (73% higher; middle half -0.4% to +6.6%), and +6.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.