
Priority transit auction prices through the Panama Canal reached US$4 million for a Neopanamax slot, with average premiums rising from about US$135,000-140,000 before the Strait of Hormuz crisis to roughly US$385,000-425,000 by April and May. The increase is driven largely by energy cargoes as Asian buyers source non-Middle Eastern fuel.
Higher canal premiums and waiting times raise freight costs for dry bulk and grain shipments routed through Panama, pushing up ocean freight and supporting US Gulf and Pacific export spreads.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 11 past neutral logistics events, WTI moved a median +3.8% over 5 sessions (73% higher; middle half -0.4% to +6.6%), and +6.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.