
China's most active soymeal futures on the Dalian exchange fell 4.86% to 3,485 yuan per tonne on Friday, their sharpest drop in eight years, after four days of gains. Investors took profits and new African swine fever outbreaks raised worries about feed demand.
Lower expected hog feed demand from ASF outbreaks weighs on soymeal prices, pressuring global soymeal and soybean export values.
After 167 past bearish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.4%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 50 past bearish disease events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.7% to +2.4%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.