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Hog futures on Dalian spiked on Monday to their highest since the contract debuted a month earlier, rising 4-6% as funds priced in reports of new ASF cases in northern China. Corn and soymeal futures fell about 1% as traders expected producers to raise output.
Expected herd rebuilding and output increases after ASF scares suggest higher future feed demand for corn and soymeal, though near-term Dalian grain futures traded lower.
fastmarkets.comJohnny HuangFeb 8, 2021After 177 past bullish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 175 past bearish disease events, Corn moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 167 past bearish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.4%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
