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S&P Global reports that ABARES raised its forecast for Australia's 2020-21 wheat harvest, with output the highest in at least 31 years. New South Wales production is seen reaching 13.1 million tonnes and Australian wheat exports to China are above 1 million tonnes so far.
Higher Australian output and strong China-bound exports increase competition for other origins in Asian markets, which weighs on wheat prices. Larger supplies also support lower freight demand for Australian grain cargoes.
spglobal.comFeb 15, 2021After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
