The ECB announced it would buy bonds at a significantly higher pace over the next quarter, citing recent rises in yields and expected higher headline inflation. The ECB raised its 2021 GDP and inflation forecasts.
The euro dipped after the decision but ended the day roughly unchanged against the dollar.
The faster bond buying widens the policy gap with the Federal Reserve, which is not reacting to rising yields. That gap supports the dollar against the euro while euro-zone recovery lags.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.