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Ocean freight rates have spiked as strong global demand for grain and coal strains dry bulk vessel supply. Panamax quotes for nearby delivery rose 17% between March 1 and 2 to $21,350 per day, trading at a premium to capesizes.
Higher freight raises the landed cost of US and other exported wheat and feed grains, widening the gap for importers who are not yet covered. Analysts expect second-half 2021 forward freight to ease if demand cools.
uswheat.orgMar 4, 2021Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
