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Freight rates for Ukrainian grain have fallen for most segments, with Danube coaster corn to Italy down $2/t to $32-34/t and Panamax corn or wheat from Odesa to southern China down $1/t to $42-44/t. Barge rates from Reni or Izmail to Constanta held steady at 9-10 euros per ton, and Danube shipping was reportedly disrupted.
Lower Black Sea freight improves the competitiveness of Ukrainian corn and wheat in Mediterranean and Asian markets, adding export pressure. Danube disruption limits the benefit by constraining river logistics.
en.usm.mediaNinaNov 18, 2024After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
