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UkrAgroConsult analyst Maxim Kharchenko says Ukrainian grain sea freight rates have fallen as more vessels call at Ukrainian ports, with further declines expected. He cites a $32/t Odesa-to-Spain corn freight versus $20/t from Constanta, with the gap attributed to military risk.
Lower freight from Ukrainian ports improves the competitiveness of Black Sea grain, adding supply pressure on wheat and corn export prices. Continued Red Sea attacks keep a premium on Asia-bound cargoes.
ukragroconsult.comApr 30, 2024After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
