China's yuan weakened as expectations of faster U.S. growth from fiscal stimulus kept the dollar near a five-month high. The PBOC set its fixing at 6.5584 per dollar, and President Biden proposed a $2 trillion infrastructure plan.
A stronger dollar and rising U.S. yields weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices and raise Chinese import costs, a mild bearish factor for grains and feed ingredients.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.