Investors bet on a stronger yuan after Joe Biden's election, with the offshore yuan rising to a 2.5-year high of 6.547 per dollar. Banks are upgrading forecasts, and some analysts see the currency breaking below 6 within a year.
Expectations of yuan appreciation and reduced trade tension could lift China's import purchasing power for U.S. farm goods, but the link to feed prices is indirect and not yet a confirmed demand change.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.