China's onshore dollar/yuan overnight swap points fell to -60, the lowest since 2007, as traders scrambled for dollars to meet quarter-end requirements. The tomorrow-next contract also hit its weakest level since September 2019.
Tight dollar funding in China signals stress in import financing, which could slow purchases of commodities priced in dollars, though the effect is primarily quarter-end and technical.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.