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East and Southern African fertilizer prices were little changed in October 2025, with DAP in Kenya at KSh 5,800 to 6,400 per bag and MAP in South Africa down about $20 per tonne month on month. Ethiopia finalized a 244,000-tonne DAP purchase after reducing its tender.
A reduced Ethiopian DAP tender and soft regional prices show subdued phosphate demand, supporting a bearish near-term outlook for fertilizer costs.
After 273 past trade events, DAP moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.5%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.