
Tunisian phosphate and derivative exports rose 15% in 2025 after a 26.3% fall in 2024. Production is nearing targets, with forecasts pointing to around 5 million tons a year under the government's 2025–2030 plan.
Recovering Tunisian phosphate output adds modest supply to a tight phosphate market, a mildly bearish factor for DAP and TSP prices over time.
After 40 past bearish trade events, DAP moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.5%), and -2.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.