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Morocco's OCP Group is on track to add about 4.5 million metric tons per year of phosphate fertilizer capacity by end-2026 under its SP2M plan. The plan targets 9 million metric tons of new capacity by 2028, and OCP is investing $5.25 billion in 2026 alone.
Large new Moroccan supply, combined with China's export restrictions, is reshaping phosphate trade flows toward Moroccan product. Rising supply is bearish for DAP and TSP prices over the coming years.
fertilizerdaily.comKim ClarksenAug 29, 2026After 40 past bearish trade events, DAP moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.5%), and -2.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
