Loading…
Urea hit a 13-year high in Australian dollar terms, and glyphosate rose to about A$11/kg from A$5/kg two years earlier. Chinese national authorities announced phosphate production changes, and state-owned phosphate producers were ordered to stop exporting.
Hurricane Ida also disrupted logistics.
Australia sources most of its MAP and DAP from China and most of its urea from the Middle East, so the export halt and high urea prices raise input costs for Australian grain and feed producers.
en.boerenbusiness.nlNiels van der BoomSep 30, 2021
queenslandcountrylife.com.auBrandon LongOct 1, 2021
wsj.comSep 29, 2021Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 151 past bullish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.9%), and +1.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 29 Sep, reports that Chinese state-owned phosphate producers were ordered to stop exports, plus Hurricane Ida logistics disruption, tightened supply and drove DAP higher.
Confirms that Chinese state-owned phosphate producers were ordered to stop exports and that Hurricane Ida disrupted logistics, which adds to supply-side and sentiment pressure on DAP on the move date.
Urea at a 13-year high, China's export restrictions and Ida logistics disruption added to supply-side tightness and sentiment.
