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Gro Intelligence expects China's two-year run of huge pork imports to end as the domestic hog herd grows and pork prices have slumped. Hog producer margins have turned negative, and the government has announced domestic pork reserve purchases to support prices.
Lower Chinese pork imports reduce demand for imported feed ingredients and pork supply from exporters, and a smaller hog herd cuts domestic corn and meal use. This is bearish for feed grain and protein demand.
gro-intelligence.comJul 16, 2021After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 123 past bearish trade events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.0%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
