China's soybean imports from Brazil fell 3.7% year on year in July, and total soybean imports from all origins fell 14.1%. Weaker crush margins and falling hog prices have reduced livestock demand for soymeal.
USDA also cut its 2020/21 and 2021/22 US soybean export forecasts.
Lower Chinese soybean and soymeal demand weighs on global soy and meal prices, especially with China's crushers cutting back on purchases.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.