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OPEC+ reached a consensus to phase out 5.8 million barrels per day of withheld supply after weeks of deadlock. The group will add 400,000 barrels per day in August and revise baselines used for quotas from May 2022.
The UAE baseline rises to 3.5 million barrels per day from 3.168 million.
Baseline increases for several producers lift their future quota ceilings, expanding potential supply in 2022. This is a bearish factor for crude over the medium term.
thenationalnews.comJennifer GnanaJul 18, 2021After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
