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OPEC's statement confirmed that Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman will raise output by 188,000 bpd in August. The increases are identical to the monthly adjustments announced from March through June.
Repeated identical monthly increases signal a steady, incremental supply expansion rather than a shock, so the price impact is limited but still bearish for crude.
rigzone.comAndreas ExarheasJul 6, 2026After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
