Loading…
OPEC and its non-OPEC allies agreed to phase out 5.8 million barrels per day of production cuts by September 2022, with increases of 400,000 barrels per day each month from August. The group cited clear signs of improving demand and falling OECD stocks.
The IEA estimated a 1.5 million barrel per day shortfall in the second half of 2021.
Gradual supply restoration is intended to cap the price rally while the market remains tight. Monthly increases of 400,000 barrels per day are a steady bearish weight on crude.
cnbc.comNatasha TurakJul 18, 2021After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The OPEC+ deal to add 400k bpd monthly from August and unwind 5.8M bpd of cuts is a bearish supply shock.
The OPEC+ agreement to add 400k bpd monthly and phase out 5.8m bpd of cuts raised expected supply, bearish for Brent.
