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OPEC+ ministers agreed on Sunday to raise oil output from August after Saudi Arabia and others accepted a request from the UAE that had threatened the plan. The group also agreed new production baselines effective May 2022.
Prices had climbed to 2-1/2 year highs during the pandemic recovery.
The planned monthly increases add supply to a market that had been tightening, which pressures crude prices lower. Lower crude eases energy and biofuel-linked input costs over time.
reuters.comRania El GamalJul 18, 2021After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Resolution of the Saudi-UAE deadlock removed supply uncertainty and let output rise from August, pressuring prices.
The Sunday OPEC+ compromise resolved the deadlock and cleared the way for higher August output, so the market priced in more supply.
