Freight rates from Black Sea and Azov ports to North Africa and the Red Sea rose 70-100% this season, and Argentina and Brazil to North Africa rates reached $80-90 per ton. The increase follows a surge in container ship charter rates, which climbed 350% over the year amid port congestion and container shortages.
Higher freight costs widen the gap between world grain prices and domestic purchase prices in importing countries, pressuring export demand for Black Sea and South American feed grains.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 137 past bearish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.0%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.