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An expert opinion piece describes how La Niña, the cool phase of the ENSO cycle, has brought heavy rains and cooler temperatures to many countries this summer. It outlines the contrasting effects of La Niña and El Niño on agriculture and food security.
General climate commentary without a new forecast or confirmed crop damage gives little direct price signal. It reinforces the weather-risk backdrop for South American and other exporters.
developmentaid.orgCatalina RussuAug 30, 2021After 2,467 past weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,964 past weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,773 past weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 361 past weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
