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Strikes in India and Canada are disrupting processed phosphate and potash markets. Urea trade is subdued ahead of India's August 29 tender, with Brazil purchasing at around USD 355/tonne CFR.
Labor disruptions cut phosphate and potash supply while India's import needs underpin urea demand, supporting fertilizer prices.
After 49 past bullish logistics events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.2%), and -0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.