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Phosphate fertilizer prices in Argentina are rising, while granulated urea shows signs of recovery after Egyptian plants suspended operations due to gas cuts. Brazilian urea sold at 380-410 USD/t CFR, and China's quota-based export restart is expected to be delayed until mid-to-late June.
Egyptian urea supply losses and anticipated Indian demand support near-term nitrogen prices. Firm fertilizer costs in South America pressure farm margins for corn and soybean planting.
dezbainspection.comJun 1, 2025After 49 past bullish logistics events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.2%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 31 past bullish logistics events, DAP moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.9%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dated on the move day, it reports Brazilian urea at 380-410 USD/t CFR, far below the 515 USD/t wholesale reference of late May, and says China's export restart is expected mid-to-late June, which fits a sharp price reset.
