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CF Industries began restarting ammonia units at its Donaldsonville, Louisiana complex after Hurricane Ida, but urea and UAN restarts were to follow. Gulf barge logistics remain disrupted, and prompt September barges reached $552/t fob, the highest since 2012.
Slow plant restarts and barge logistics problems keep US nitrogen supply tight during the fall application season, supporting urea prices and freight costs.
profercy.comChris YearsleySep 15, 2021After 49 past bullish logistics events, Urea moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.2%), and -0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
