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La Niña is not active at the end of October 2026, and an El Niño advisory remains in place with warm anomalies across the equatorial Pacific. Forecasters are watching for a possible shift to ENSO-neutral conditions in spring or early summer 2027, with any later La Niña uncertain.
The ENSO outlook shapes expectations for 2027 rainfall and crop risk across the tropics, but the near-term market impact is limited while the outlook stays uncertain.
wirony.comReyaansh AgarawalOct 31, 2026After 2,467 past weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,964 past weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,773 past weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 361 past weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
