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South American soybean oil export basis differentials surged in August, with Argentina's Up River basis rising 530 points and Brazil's Paranagua basis rising 460 points. The increase reflected Asian demand, concerns over local supply, and biodiesel demand in Argentina and Brazil.
India also cut its crude soybean oil import duty to 30.25% on August 20.
Stronger South American export premiums and Indian buying signal firm global demand for soybean oil, supporting prices and competing with palm oil supplies.
ukragroconsult.comSep 3, 2021After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
