Bower Trading's Jim Bower says global corn and soybean ending stocks are tight, so traders are watching La Nina's effect on South American production. He notes soybeans could stay volatile, including spreads, if South American weather worsens.
Tight stocks plus South American weather risk support corn and soybean prices and raise volatility.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.