
After the September USDA report weighed on wheat, Black Sea traders shifted attention to corn. Ukrainian corn offers were at $300/t CIF-Marmara, below European and Russian origins, and wheat offers were at $316-318/t.
Bearish USDA wheat signals pressured Black Sea wheat, while competitive Ukrainian corn pricing points to steady export demand for corn.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.