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Energy Intelligence reports that diesel strength is pushing crude oil higher, with Brent near $85 on expectations of a tight winter. Futures anticipate higher diesel demand from gas-to-diesel fuel switching, a colder winter, and recovering jet fuel demand, and options markets are betting on $100 crude.
A tight distillate and crude outlook raises energy costs that feed out into fuel, transport, and fertilizer production. Stronger crude and diesel generally support higher input costs for feed producers.
energyintel.comAuthor John van Schaik, New York Editor Gary PeachOct 18, 2021After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
