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Currency strategist Jens Nordvig exited his long dollar positions and is looking to short the dollar, particularly against emerging market currencies. He said the dollar appears to have topped out after reaching a 52-week high, with its next move dependent on Federal Reserve comments about inflation.
A view that the dollar has peaked would support dollar-priced commodities and emerging market currency strength, which can improve import demand for feed in those markets.
cnbc.comPatti DommOct 14, 2021After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
