Several Latin American currencies have outperformed the US dollar in 2022 despite its broad strength. The Brazilian real is up more than 17% against the dollar, the top performer globally, while the Chilean and Uruguayan pesos have gained about 9.5% and 7.4%.
The Mexican peso is up around 2.4%.
Currency strength in major Latin American grain and meat exporters shifts their export pricing and import costs for feed ingredients. The move is mainly a currency story with limited direct effect on commodity prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.