Latin American stocks and currencies gained as commodity prices rose and the dollar softened. Mexican and Colombian currencies led gains on higher oil prices, while Brazil's real rose to a four-month high ahead of an expected 150 basis point rate hike.
Stronger Latin American currencies make dollar-priced exports such as soybeans and corn relatively more expensive for those importers, while supporting local producer margins. The rally is driven largely by currency and rate factors.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.