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Rapeseed prices have hit records after four straight years of EU stock depletion, reduced UK planting, and Neonicotinoid restrictions. The recent rally was catalysed by a drought that cut Canadian canola stocks to a forecast 691 kt by end-2021/22.
Tight soybean supplies and palm oil supply issues have also lifted vegetable oil markets.
Tight canola and rapeseed supplies are pushing vegetable oil and biodiesel feedstock prices higher, which raises the cost of oilseed-based inputs. Analysts warn prices look overvalued ahead of the palm, US soy and Australian canola export seasons.
graintab.comCRM AgriOct 7, 2021Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 184 past bullish weather events, SBO moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 181 past bullish weather events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
