
BMD spot crude palm oil fell $50 to $974 per tonne as doubts grew over Indonesia's B50 biodiesel timeline. Malaysian October stock estimates rose and Indian buyers shifted to cheaper oils.
Delayed B50 biodiesel demand removes a supportive policy driver, while higher Malaysian stocks add supply pressure, both bearish for palm oil prices.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.