
USD/CAD rose to its highest level since September 22 as crude oil fell further on concerns about a possibly vaccine-resistant COVID variant. Lower U.S. bond yields and a weaker dollar limited the gains, with Canadian GDP and Powell's testimony in focus.
A sharp drop in oil prices on demand worries weakens the commodity-linked loonie. Markets also pared expected Fed tightening, which affects the dollar and currency-hedged commodity pricing.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.