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ING strategist Petr Krpata expects the dollar's softness to continue this week as markets price negative US real rates for longer. He flags Friday's US payrolls report, where a below-consensus print could further weaken the dollar, and expects the DXY to keep grinding lower.
Expected dollar weakness through the payrolls report supports dollar-denominated commodity prices in the near term.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.