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The Brazilian real gained after leftist former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, the front-runner in the presidential race, said he would like former Sao Paulo governor Geraldo Alckmin as his running mate. The move reflects easing political risk ahead of the October election.
Reduced political uncertainty in Brazil supports a firmer real, which can slightly lift the cost of Brazilian dollar-priced soy and corn exports. The effect on feed prices is modest.
bloomberg.comSimone IglesiasFeb 1, 2022After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
