Loading…
Deutsche Bank now expects the ECB to begin raising rates with a 25bp hike in December 2022, in line with money-market pricing for a hike by year-end. The bank says EUR/USD could rise materially above 1.20 next year if the Fed's hiking path does not accelerate.
Euro-area inflation was 5.0% in December 2021.
A forecast change in euro policy shifts currency expectations, which affects dollar-denominated commodity prices and European import demand.
poundsterlinglive.comGary HowesJan 25, 2022After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
